tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1628172601886929098.post2210448841287197238..comments2024-03-28T02:32:33.019-04:00Comments on Perdido Street School: Ridiculous NYSED Claim About Common Core Support Will Add To Opt Out Numbersreality-based educatorhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01712885202661371924noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1628172601886929098.post-52035373538922784252015-11-17T11:12:58.852-05:002015-11-17T11:12:58.852-05:00I agree that Elia's ass number of 71.5% wont f...I agree that Elia's ass number of 71.5% wont fool anyone. <br /><br />HOWEVER, <br />This insistence that Opt-Out will be given a HUGE bump in numbers is, perhaps, a bit of an ass-numbering as well. (an additional 200,000!!!)<br /><br />Our side seems to really go in hard for making statements about the upcoming opt-out season. And for sure, the flames are being fanned. I'd argue that the best thing to do is SHUT UP and if the numbers go big, then its a much more pointed moment for us. <br /><br />That said, I would argue that the opt-out of 2014-2015 was a full-court press and represents near peak numbers. This year if we get a 5-10% jump, thats big. NYC isn't in and won't be in. 250k of this past year represents ballpark of what is achievable. The people who are, for example, pissed off hard about Elia's latest comments and actions are THE SAME PEOPLE who were pissed last spring and did opt-out. Where are these new 200,000 coming from? Its a mistake to think that ed issues in NYS are as central to most people as they are to us and the hardcore opt-out folk. They aren't. The only real growth possible beyond the 250k of last spring is at the margins. I think a robust 300k is possible this upcoming year. 350k would be a treat. But up to 400-500K?? COME ON!!! I don't see an opt-out awakening in NYC. I don't see anything but a growth at the margins of the pockets that delivered the opt-out numbers of last year. Thats a reasonable guess. But to think that every time Elia talks or acts, hundreds of thousands of people will become hardcore opt-out is a little detached. It also assumes that the counter-opt-out measures that Cuomo/Elia/ETC are no doubt contemplating won't exist or will be entirely ineffective. (I'd guess that whatever those are they will be un-smart and not too effective, but still....I won't assume they won't be deployed).<br /><br />Lets not inflate this stuff too much. Its not smart. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com