Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Quinnipiac Poll: De Blasio 36%, Quinn 21%, Thompson 20%

Now we know why the attacks against de Blasio have been so hard and heavy from the establishment - it's because he's pulling away.

Not only is de Blasio in the lead, besting his next closest opponent Quinn by 15 percentage points, he's closing in on the magical 40% to avoid a runoff.

If the Q poll numbers are anywhere close to accurate, Quinn is finished:

In a runoff, de Blasio beats Quinn 59%-30%
In a runoff, de Blasio beats Thompson 52%-36%
In a runoff, Thompson bears Quinn 57%-33%.

Stunning.

It's just one poll - Marist and Siena should be out soon too.

But this poll suggests that the NY Times endorsement didn't help Quinn.

Or the Billie Jean King endorsement.

More later.
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8 comments:

  1. AnonymousAugust 28, 2013 at 3:54 PM

    Sometimes you do post good news.

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    Replies
    1. reality-based educatorAugust 28, 2013 at 3:57 PM

      Every once in a while.

      Of course, if you're Mulgrew and the UFT leadership, this is not good news.

      Delete
    2. AnonymousAugust 28, 2013 at 5:39 PM

      The Tisch (mentor to John King who imposed the evaluation system) link to Thompson couldn't have helped with teachers or other opponents of education "reform".

      What talking points could the UFT use in a deBlasio-Thompson face off? Thompson has better posture ... um, probably not: ed reform collaboration is working.

      Delete
  2. PogueAugust 28, 2013 at 4:13 PM

    Damn. That's pretty cool. I hope he sweeps it all.

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    1. reality-based educatorAugust 29, 2013 at 12:10 PM

      Me too - avoid a runoff would be the best thing for all of us.

      Delete
  3. AnonymousAugust 28, 2013 at 6:12 PM

    I do not trust the polling especially the Quinnipiac poll that had Bloomberg double digits ahead of Thompson in 09. Yet, I cannot but salivate at the prospect of Quinn not even in a run off. It would do my heart good to see her and Bloomberg take one on the chin for their deplorable act of self interest by undoing term limits. Also a Thompson DeBlasio run off would scare the UFT shitless. WOW

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    Replies
    1. reality-based educatorAugust 29, 2013 at 12:09 PM

      I believe you are not the only one to think Quinnipiac is unreliable. You raise a good point about '09. That's why with 12 days to go, I'm not ready to put a fork in Quinn.

      Delete
  4. AnonymousAugust 29, 2013 at 2:24 PM

    While I have no expectations whatsoever that De Blasio would be substantially different than the other candidates, the thought of the rebuke to Mulgrew his election would represent is sweet, indeed.

    ReplyDelete