Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Cuomo's Job Performance Ratings

After a Siena poll showed Andrew Cuomo with a 44%-56% job performance rating last week, a new Quinnipiac poll released today shows a different story:

New York State Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who saw his job approval rating drop in Quinnipiac University polls in the first six months of the year, opens his reelection bid with a 62 - 25 percent approval rating today.

Marist released a poll yesterday finding this:

About 52% of the registered voters polled said they approved of Mr. Cuomo's job performance, with 8% of voters deeming his performance "excellent," and 44% describing it as "good." The same poll in April found approval of Mr. Cuomo's job performance at 54%.

The Quinnipiac poll, often unreliable in the past, seems a little high to me, especially with Cuomo's lost approval over the gun law.

The Siena poll might be a little low.

He's probably right in the middle somewhere, hovering near 50% or just above - which is where Marist has him.

The truth is, having a 52% job performance rating going into re-election is nothing to write home about.

In both the Marist and the Siena polls, his performance trajectory has been downward.

He beats any opponent put up against him next year - but we knew that would happen.

The problem for Cuomo is that he needs to beat his opponent next year convincingly so that he can make a case for a 2016 run.

Let;s see what Cuomo's performance rating looks like in another nine months, especially after Republicans start running ads against him.

If they nominate a sane, reasonable candidate, I think they can hold Sheriff Andy to a modest victory, giving him trouble for his vaunted 2016 run.

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