Who Turns First, Silver Or Skelos?

Albany Project on what last week's "Silver/Skelos had better heed the Malcolm Smith 7 year sentence" leak means:

Bharara's secured a 7 year prison sentence for a former majority leader, one of the five consecutive majority leaders indicted for corruption. Preet Bharara don’t play.

As I’ve mentioned before, it’s become increasingly obvious that the US Attorney is not conducting a series of unrelated investigations. He’s working one large one and he’s going about it in much the same way he would conduct a mafia investigation. He’s working up the pyramid to man at the top while putting as much pressure as possible and those further down the food chain to cooperate with his office.

The big question now is which one of these guys flips first. (My money is on Skelos.) Because two of the “three men in a room” are now already facing federal charges. There’s probably only one Get Out of Jail Free card on offer. Once one of them cuts a deal, there are likely no more musical chairs left to secure.

And then all bets are off. Then there’s the likelihood of a lengthy prison sentence (Skelos) or the possibility of dying in prison (Silver).

That’s enough to make a man think long and hard about his options.

The pattern out of Bharara's office has been a series of leaks every few months that sets up the next bombshell arrest - it started with the Silver leaks in 2014, continued with Silver's arrest the day after Cuomo's state of the state/budget address in January, continued again with leaks about Skelos right after the Silver arrest, continued with Skelos's arrest after the budget was completed in March.

I'm with Albany Project here.

The leak that Silver/Skelos had best heed the Smith sentence is not some accidental occurrence.

It's meant to squeeze Silver and/or Skelos into dealing.

And what do either of them have to deal?

Can't speak to Shelly, but Dean's perhaps got this.