Wednesday, April 10, 2013

NY Post Spins Poll For Quinn

The Bloomberg-friendly NY Post tries to spin the latest Quinnipiac poll results for Christine Quinn.

Quinn dropped five percentage points in the poll, from 37% support in February to 32% support now.

The Post describes this as a "small drop" and assures its readers that Quinn still "outpaces opponents."

Which is true, she does.

But the drop from 37% to 32% is not insignificant.

40% is the cutoff for a candidate to avoid a runoff.

The last poll in February, where she enjoyed 37% support, was spun by both Quinn's people and her supporters in the media as showing her quite near the cutoff for avoiding a runoff and putting the election away.

But with Quinn suffering her "small drop," she is no longer near the 40% line, which means she's nowhere near avoiding a runoff.

Perhaps she'll break out again and turn the support trajectory back up.

But for now, the five point percentage drop is quite significant.

It means Quinn is losing support for the first time in a year and she is no longer near the cutoff line for avoiding a runoff.

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