Christine C. Quinn is leading the crowded field in the Democratic primary race for New York City mayor, lifted by support among Manhattanites and higher-income voters, the latest New York Times/Siena College poll finds.But just over a month before the Sept. 10 primary, Ms. Quinn is still well below the level needed to avoid a runoff, and many voters remain undecided.Ms. Quinn, the City Council speaker, is backed by 25 percent of Democratic voters, followed by 16 percent for William C. Thompson Jr., a former city comptroller, and 14 percent for Bill de Blasio, the public advocate.Anthony D. Weiner garners the support of 10 percent of Democratic voters, confirming his slippage in the race that other surveys have also recorded since revelations that he continued to have sexually explicit exchanges with women online after he resigned from Congress two years ago. The remaining candidates in the poll each drew less than 5 percent; 26 percent of the Democratic voters surveyed were undecided.
The key takeaways:
Quinn is nowhere near avoiding a runoff.
Thompson and De Blasio are neck in neck in this poll to face Quinn in a runoff.
There are 26 percent undecideds.
Weiner is done.
Harry Enten puts this poll and every other poll taken so far in perspective:
Finally, NYC races traditionally change most after August 20th... so take this and every poll for what it is... A snapshot, nothing more.
— Harry Enten (@ForecasterEnten) August 9, 2013
We're getting close to that time, but we're not there yet.
Right now we still have a two person race between Thompson and De Blasio to take on Quinn in the runoff.
Whichever of those two wins has a good chance to beat Quinn in a runoff.
But we'll see - it's been a crazy race so far, lots of twists and turns, so who knows where we go from here?
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