Perdido 03

Perdido 03

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Cuomo's Lead Down To Twenty Points, Hawkins Almost In Double Digits

From State of Politics:

Gov. Andrew Cuomo leads his Republican opponent Rob Astorino by 20 percentage points, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday morning.

The poll found Cuomo receives the support of 51 percent of voters polled compared to Astorino’s 31 percent. Howie Hawkins, the Green Party candidate, received 9 percent.

Without Hawkins in the race, Cuomo leads 55 percent to 34 percent.

Cuomo’s lead in the August Quinnipiac poll was wider, when the governor led Astornio 56 percent to 28 percent. Hawkins was not included in that poll.

Had Teachout been in this race on the Working Families Party ballot line, she would have been garnering over 10% support and Cuomo would have been under 50%.

As it is, Howie Hawkins is near double digits and may end up over 10% when all is said and done.

We'll see if Cuomo can win this election with over 50%.

It's a sign of weakness that he's down near 50% now.

As for Astorino, he's picked up three percentage points in support since the last Q poll while Cuomo has lost five percentage points.

But with less than a month to go now, it's hard for Astorino to close that gap - especially with this:

Cuomo’s favorable rating is at 50 percent, with 39 percent of voters holding an unfavorable opinion of him.

Astorino, meanwhile, is underwater: 27 percent hold a favorable view of him, while 29 percent do not. Forty-three percent of voters don’t know enough about him to form an opinion, the poll found.

I think the best we can hope to do here is hold Cuomo below 50% come next month.

Still, given how this was supposed to be a coronation for Il Duce, with wide support and overwhelming re-election numbers that set him up for a presidential run in the future, that would be a pretty big thing.

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