The early Democratic front-runner in recent New York City mayoral races has a near perfect record in going on to win the party’s nomination, according to an analysis of public opinion surveys conducted since 1989. If that pattern holds true in this year’s race, Speaker Christine C. Quinn of the City Council will very likely win the Democratic nomination in September. She has led in every primary poll conducted in 2013.
Silver isn't wrong too often.
Here's hoping this is one time he is.
About the only way I'd want Quinn to win is if Weiner was the other candidate in the runoff.
Or if she was the candidate and running against Lhota.